A View to the Footy

We decided to use a little bit of light time series analysis to see if we could try to answer the question what is going on with Hannebery. Statements from the club and the player have been that he is on the mend after fighting a bout of osteitis pubis through the 2017 season and that his recent poor performance has been form and not fitness related. Let's see what we can see. Some assumptions: A single catch all metric is the basis for our little analysis, we're using Final Siren's ratings . We will make the assumption that form is a simple 22 game moving average of rating for  Hannebery since his debut, roughly corresponds to a year. Deviation from the average will tell us if a game is 'good' or 'bad'. We'll normalise that deviation against the standard deviation of the ratings, to get how many standard deviations away from the norm a given performance is. Greater than 1 standard deviation is the arbitrary line we draw to determine 'goo...

Based on AFL Player Ratings Heath Grundy 23 disposals  |  91%DE  |  7 marks The milestone man put in his season best performance, taking intercept marks and using the ball well. An astounding success coming from the rookie list, doesn’t seem to be slowing down at 32. Josh P. Kennedy 28 disposals  |  68%DE  |  1.2  |  6 clearances The captain led the way against a midfield that was stymied by Natanui’s ruck dominance. Seems to be moving a lot more freely at the stoppages, where he spent most of his time, a shift from the last few weeks. George Hewett 24 disposals  |  88%DE Uses the oppositions best midfielder as a scaffold for his own game, a softer tag on Shuey, then drifted to Yeo as he started to dominate late in the game. His inside ball winning and delivery is improving out of sight. Zak Jones 20 disposals  |  80%DE An impactful if wasteful ...

AFL Player Ratings Based Review Swans vs. St. Kilda 2018 round 12 Zak Jones 23 disposals  |  86%DE BOG for equity impact, is running very hard to receive handpasses, is a designated kick and is delivering to options well. Significant area of improvement for him. His contested ball work suffers, he isn't strong enough to hold opponents off and dispose. Gets caught too often for a player with his skills. As he learns to use guile and teammates to free himself his game will improve here. Isaac Heeney 27 disposals  |  74%DE  |  1.1 Almost identical impact to jones, is becoming a consistent threat all over the field. He attended only 14 centre bounces, as mature bodies come back into the side he will be able to spend more time around the ball as opposed to working all over the ground. Lance Franklin 4.4  |  18 disposals  |  66%  |  8 marks inside 50 He had a good game that co...